Idioma:Español
Nottingham Forest v Leeds United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nottingham Forest (Local)
Predicción 37.41%2.67momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.64%37.62%37.37%40.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.432.452.6244.84%41.21%40.82%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leeds United (Visitante)
Predicción 33.92%2.95momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.59%33.76%33.97%35.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.792.803.0538.46%35.88%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.353%
Ventaja +0.101%
Kelly +0.141%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.73%28.63%28.66%29.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.83%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nottingham Forest (Local): 37.41%; Leeds United (Visitante): 33.92%; Empate: 28.67%. Para Leeds United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.95. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV +0.353%E +0.101%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +3.46%E +1.13%K +1.69%G +0.058% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV +0.353%E +0.101%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -13.22%E -5.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.069%E +0.024%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -13.22%E -5.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.069%E +0.024%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -13.22%E -5.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.069%E +0.024%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -13.22%E -5.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.069%E +0.024%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -13.22%E -5.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.069%E +0.024%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.31%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.31%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -2.31%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.98%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.08%EV -2.64%E -0.921%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.94%EV -5.95%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -14.71%E -6.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.51%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -4.34%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.70%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.73%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.51%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.51%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -16.59%E -7.44%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -16.59%E -7.44%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -16.59%E -7.44%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.70%E -2.05%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.06%EV -5.95%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.73%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.73%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.51%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 18:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.41%E -3.12%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -13.98%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -11.12%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.80%EV -9.48%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.99%EV -11.12%E -4.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -12.55%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |