Middlesbrough v Wrexham AFC

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Middlesbrough (Local)

Odds

1.9152.36%Min

2.0149.67%Mean

1.9750.76%Median

2.1247.17%Max

Consensus probabilities

43.48%2.300Min

45.86%2.181Max

45.01%2.222Mean

45.36%2.205Median

45.33%2.206IQM

44.98%2.223Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.12 under the IQM model: 45.33%

EV -3.90%Edge -1.84%Kelly -3.49%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Wrexham AFC (Visit)

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.1831.42%Mean

3.2031.25%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.92%3.582Min

30.43%3.286Max

28.62%3.495Mean

28.28%3.536Median

28.30%3.534IQM

28.57%3.500Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.30%

EV -3.79%Edge -1.12%Kelly -1.58%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.4728.84%Mean

3.4528.99%Median

3.6027.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.48%3.925Min

28.01%3.571Max

26.37%3.792Mean

26.36%3.793Median

26.38%3.791IQM

26.45%3.780Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 26.38%

EV -5.05%Edge -1.40%Kelly -1.94%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Middlesbrough (Local) ▼	Wrexham AFC (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.12I 47.17% NM 45.20%EV -3.90% E -1.84% K -3.49% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 28.18%EV -3.79% E -1.12% K -1.58% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.62%EV -5.05% E -1.40% K -1.94% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.05%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.67%EV -6.62% E -2.01% K -2.88% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.28%EV -5.05% E -1.40% K -1.94% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.72%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.46%EV -6.62% E -2.01% K -2.88% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.83%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-26 14:39
1xBet	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.60%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06% NM 29.09%EV -8.89% E -2.76% K -4.00% G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09% NM 26.31%EV -6.10% E -1.71% K -2.38% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-29 06:50
William Hill	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.11% E -5.04% K -7.56% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.11% E -5.04% K -7.56% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.11% E -5.04% K -7.56% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.81% E -2.29% K -4.37% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.11% E -5.04% K -7.56% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-06-30 14:19
SportsBet	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.12%EV -7.08% E -3.45% K -6.74% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.46%EV -8.04% E -2.47% K -3.57% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.12%EV -7.08% E -3.45% K -6.74% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.46%EV -8.04% E -2.47% K -3.57% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.12%EV -7.08% E -3.45% K -6.74% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.46%EV -8.04% E -2.47% K -3.57% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -7.68% E -2.20% K -3.07% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-26 14:29
LeoVegas	2.02I 49.50% NM 45.41%EV -8.44% E -4.18% K -8.27% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.12%EV -10.87% E -3.45% K -5.05% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -5.05% E -1.40% K -1.94% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-02 10:20
LiveScore Bet	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.73%EV -10.70% E -5.43% K -11.04% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.15%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.73%EV -10.70% E -5.43% K -11.04% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.15%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
Unibet	1.97I 50.76% NM 45.73%EV -10.70% E -5.43% K -11.04% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.15%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:39
BetRivers	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.16% E -5.69% K -11.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.00% E -2.61% K -3.67% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 08:39
BoyleSports	1.95I 51.28% NM 45.81%EV -11.61% E -5.95% K -12.22% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.92%EV -9.45% E -2.95% K -4.30% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.27%EV -10.32% E -3.04% K -4.30% G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.91I 52.36% NM 43.99%EV -13.42% E -7.03% K -14.75% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.01%EV -15.11% E -5.04% K -7.56% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.01%EV -20.87% E -6.96% K -10.44% G +0.000%	19.0%	2026-06-26 11:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Middlesbrough (Local)	Wrexham AFC (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39