The School of Odds
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Mansfield Town v Sheffield United

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 18.23%5.49fair odd
EV +0.273%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.20%18.23%18.17%19.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.894.705.5021.28%20.47%21.28%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield United (Visit)

Prediction 58.00%1.72fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -8.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.90%58.07%57.87%59.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.571.6364.52%63.32%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.825%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%23.69%23.95%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.833.754.1026.67%26.14%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 18.23%; Sheffield United (Visit): 58.00%; Draw: 23.77%. For Mansfield Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.273%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +0.273%E +0.050%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.94%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.273%E +0.050%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.94%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -3.37%E -0.637%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.56%E -0.624%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 14:39
1xBet🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.12%EV -5.74%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.12%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 04:48
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.94%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.94%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.94%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 14:29
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.84%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 14:19
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -10.67%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.21%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.12%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 10:20
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -13.40%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.10%E -6.51%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.90%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.90%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.90%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -14.31%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39

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