Language:English
Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liverpool (Local)
Prediction 46.59%2.15fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.81%46.73%46.49%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.1052.36%50.27%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tottenham Hotspur (Visit)
Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV +4.95%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%27.78%27.98%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.7632.26%30.04%30.30%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -0.579%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.200%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.49%25.53%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.653.9029.41%27.27%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liverpool (Local): 46.59%; Tottenham Hotspur (Visit): 27.91%; Draw: 25.49%. For Tottenham Hotspur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV +4.95%E +1.32%K +1.79%G +0.089% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -7.21%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28%EV +3.28%E +0.886%K +1.21%G +0.040% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -0.909%E -0.256%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -0.909%E -0.256%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.39%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.75%E -0.496%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.06%EV -5.17%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-15 18:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.30%E -0.658%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.08%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -3.42%E -0.989%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.70%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -0.579%E -0.148%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.70%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -0.579%E -0.148%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.70%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.70%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.13%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.13%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.80%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.89%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 18:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -0.579%E -0.148%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -0.579%E -0.148%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -0.579%E -0.148%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -8.67%E -4.43%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -8.67%E -4.43%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.28%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.67%E -4.43%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 18:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.68%E -3.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.47%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -13.47%E -4.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.13%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 18:55 |