Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 34.42%; Bradford City (Visit): 37.04%; Draw: 28.54%. For Bradford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -2.93%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.03%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -2.93%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.03%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -4.44%E -1.72%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -11.85%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.27%EV -2.96%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.27%EV -2.96%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -2.96%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 17:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -2.96%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.51%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -1.85%E -0.698%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.51%EV -7.75%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -1.85%E -0.698%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -14.07%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -14.07%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -14.07%E -6.07%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -7.41%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.11%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.26%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |