Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ipswich Town v Leicester City

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Ipswich Town 3–1 Leicester City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ipswich Town (Local)

Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.97%65.29%65.57%67.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.30%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leicester City (Visit)

Prediction 14.59%6.85fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.357%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.41%14.73%14.55%16.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.146.007.0018.52%16.28%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.82%5.05fair odd
EV -0.900%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.90%19.99%19.88%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.505.0024.39%22.17%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ipswich Town (Local): 65.59%; Leicester City (Visit): 14.59%; Draw: 19.82%. For Leicester City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +2.14%E +0.306%K +0.357%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +2.14%E +0.306%K +0.357%G +0.008%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:37
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.91%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.05%EV -0.047%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.22%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.92%EV -0.047%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.22%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.92%EV -0.047%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.40%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.12%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.47%EV -2.68%E -0.547%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -1.51%E -0.223%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -13.78%E -3.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -0.900%E -0.180%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.49%E -6.88%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -5.15%E -0.793%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 16:09
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -8.07%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -17.75%E -4.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -8.07%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -17.75%E -4.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:39
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.06%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.09%EV -9.39%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.85%EV -6.45%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:04
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.86%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:05
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.83%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 17:44
Fliff🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -8.83%E -6.35%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -4.86%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 18:35
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.76%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:19
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.76%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.76%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.76%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.79%E -2.91%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.80%E -7.94%K -30.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.45%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -15.37%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -15.37%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.81%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.46%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV -15.37%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -6.85%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -16.10%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.76%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -19.75%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -14.77%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -21.20%E -3.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.74%E -4.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -21.20%E -3.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.74%E -4.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -21.20%E -3.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.74%E -4.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%0.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%0.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39