Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town v Everton

2026-12-15 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

77%

15%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 7.67%13.05fair odd

EV +11.15%

Edge +0.769%

Kelly +0.826%

Growth +0.092%

assuming max odds 14.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.56%7.67%7.67%7.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.2613.2513.0014.508.16%7.55%7.69%6.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton (Visit)

Prediction 77.03%1.30fair odd

EV -6.02%

Edge -4.94%

Kelly -27.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.03%77.03%77.03%77.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.151.201.221.2286.96%83.57%81.97%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.31%6.53fair odd

EV -5.72%

Edge -0.928%

Kelly -1.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.31%15.31%15.31%15.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.756.026.146.1617.39%16.62%16.29%16.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fleetwood Town (Local): 7.67%; Everton (Visit): 77.03%; Draw: 15.31%. For Fleetwood Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.05. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 14.50, producing a positive expected value of +11.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	14.50I 6.90%NM 6.56%EV +11.15%E +0.769%K +0.826%G +0.092%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.99%EV -6.02%E -4.94%K -27.38%G +0.000%	6.16I 16.23%NM 15.45%EV -5.72%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-30 00:54
LeoVegas🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -0.352%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 77.61%EV -11.42%E -9.93%K -76.11%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -11.99%E -2.09%K -2.52%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-10-29 23:55
Pinnacle🎯	12.26I 8.16%NM 7.67%EV -6.02%E -0.491%K -0.535%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.03%EV -6.02%E -4.94%K -27.38%G +0.000%	6.14I 16.29%NM 15.31%EV -6.02%E -0.981%K -1.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-29 22:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.