Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town v Everton

2026-12-16 20:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prediction 7.06%14.17fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.159%
Kelly +0.170%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 14.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.61%7.06%7.06%7.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5012.4712.5014.508.70%8.02%8.00%6.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton (Visit)

Prediction 77.70%1.29fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -23.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.84%77.70%77.70%78.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.221.2285.47%82.37%81.97%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.24%6.56fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.261%
Kelly -0.309%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.86%15.24%15.24%16.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.946.006.4518.18%16.83%16.67%15.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fleetwood Town (Local): 7.06%; Everton (Visit): 77.70%; Draw: 15.24%. For Fleetwood Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.17. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 14.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.61%EV +2.30%E +0.159%K +0.170%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.54%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.86%EV -1.69%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-30 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.28%E -0.637%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 14:59
Unibet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:44
BetRivers🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:45
Grosvenor🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:44
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:45
betPARX🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.81%E -0.945%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.87%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.55%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -18.87%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -6.76%E -5.63%K -33.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -14.64%E -2.61%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -18.87%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.84%EV -6.76%E -5.63%K -33.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -14.64%E -2.61%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.74%EV -18.87%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.08%EV -9.09%E -7.77%K -53.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -16.17%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-30 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.