Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Arsenal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 3.36%29.72fair odd
EV +37.94%
Edge +0.925%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.360%
assuming max odds 41.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.32%3.44%3.33%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
17.1027.5326.0041.005.85%3.63%3.85%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arsenal (Visit)
Prediction 88.12%1.13fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -43.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.96%88.08%88.08%90.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0997.09%93.91%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.52%11.74fair odd
EV +19.26%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.285%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.93%8.48%8.60%9.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.2311.1614.0010.53%8.90%8.96%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 3.36%; Arsenal (Visit): 88.12%; Draw: 8.52%. For Fleetwood Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 29.72. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 41.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +37.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.37%EV +37.94%E +0.925%K +0.949%G +0.360% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.70%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.93%EV +19.26%E +1.38%K +1.48%G +0.285% | 3.0% | 2026-10-27 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +37.94%E +0.925%K +0.949%G +0.360% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.02%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.85%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.70%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV +10.74%E +0.826%K +0.895%G +0.096% | 3.2% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.85%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.70%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV +10.74%E +0.826%K +0.895%G +0.096% | 3.2% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.23%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.96%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.32%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-27 19:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.32%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-27 19:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.96%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +10.74%E +0.826%K +0.895%G +0.096% | 5.9% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV +14.39%E +0.423%K +0.436%G +0.063% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.41%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.86%EV +11.03%E +0.334%K +0.345%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.94%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.86%EV +11.03%E +0.334%K +0.345%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.94%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-27 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 32.19I 3.11%NM 2.97%EV +8.30%E +0.258%K +0.266%G +0.022% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.57%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 11.31I 8.84%NM 8.46%EV -3.66%E -0.323%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.02%EV +7.66%E +0.239%K +0.247%G +0.019% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.74%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.23%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-27 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV +4.30%E +0.139%K +0.143%G +0.006% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.08%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 5.9% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV +4.30%E +0.139%K +0.143%G +0.006% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.60%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.99%EV +4.30%E +0.139%K +0.143%G +0.006% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.27%EV -8.36%E -8.04%K -208.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.99%EV +4.30%E +0.139%K +0.143%G +0.006% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.27%EV -8.36%E -8.04%K -208.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV -2.43%E -0.084%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -2.43%E -0.084%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.60%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -2.43%E -0.084%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.60%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -2.43%E -0.084%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.60%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -2.43%E -0.084%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.60%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -2.43%E -0.084%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.60%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV -2.04%E -0.177%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.39%EV -5.79%E -0.207%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.39%EV -5.79%E -0.207%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 19:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -12.52%E -0.482%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.84%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -12.52%E -0.482%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -12.52%E -0.482%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.56%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -19.08%E -2.01%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -12.52%E -0.482%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.56%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -19.08%E -2.01%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -12.52%E -0.482%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.56%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -19.08%E -2.01%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.78%EV -15.89%E -0.636%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.76%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-27 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV -15.89%E -0.636%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.07%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +10.74%E +0.826%K +0.895%G +0.096% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV -15.89%E -0.636%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.97%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-27 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV -15.89%E -0.636%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV -15.89%E -0.636%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV -15.89%E -0.636%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.92%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.75%EV -19.25%E -0.802%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.27%EV -9.24%E -8.97%K -307.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-27 19:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 23.30I 4.29%NM 3.93%EV -21.61%E -0.927%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.07%EV -8.36%E -8.04%K -208.95%G +0.000% | 11.45I 8.73%NM 8.00%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.86%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.86%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.22%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.18%EV -6.60%E -6.22%K -109.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -10.56%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.01%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.27%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -19.08%E -2.01%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.29%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -10.56%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.29%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -10.56%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.92%EV -22.62%E -0.983%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.50%EV -9.24%E -8.97%K -307.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -10.56%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV -29.35%E -1.40%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.51%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +2.22%E +0.185%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.28%EV -29.35%E -1.40%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.24%E -8.97%K -307.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -10.56%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.69%EV -32.71%E -1.64%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.79%EV -4.83%E -4.48%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.30%E -0.573%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -36.07%E -1.90%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.56%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -10.56%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-27 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -39.44%E -2.19%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.96%EV -7.48%E -7.12%K -149.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -14.82%E -1.48%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 17.10I 5.85%NM 5.56%EV -42.47%E -2.48%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.19%EV -3.95%E -3.63%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 13.10I 7.63%NM 7.25%EV +11.59%E +0.885%K +0.958%G +0.111% | 5.2% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.82% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.82% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.82% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.82% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-27 19:55 |