Language:English
Everton v Newcastle United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Everton (Local)
Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.83%40.67%40.67%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.53%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newcastle United (Visit)
Prediction 32.22%3.10fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.34%32.28%32.18%33.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.0437.04%34.53%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.14%3.69fair odd
EV -0.953%
Edge -0.261%
Kelly -0.360%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.05%27.15%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.6530.77%28.90%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton (Local): 40.64%; Newcastle United (Visit): 32.22%; Draw: 27.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.953%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.60%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.92%EV -1.77%E -0.488%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-29 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.14%EV -2.68%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -2.87%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.09%EV -2.68%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.37%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74%EV -3.28%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74%EV -3.28%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -3.28%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.28%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-29 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -2.04%E -0.670%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-29 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.97%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -2.04%E -0.670%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-29 19:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.03%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -5.26%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -0.953%E -0.261%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.67%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.67%EV -5.72%E -2.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-29 19:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-29 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-29 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.31%E -0.642%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 19:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-29 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-29 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.59%E -4.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-29 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-29 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |