语言:简体中文
Chelsea v Luton
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chelsea (主队)
预测 75.74%1.32公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -1.78%
Kelly -7.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
73.22%75.61%75.95%77.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.221.221.2984.75%81.88%81.97%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luton (客队)
预测 8.65%11.56公平赔率
EV +5.99%
优势 +0.489%
Kelly +0.533%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 12.25
博彩公司预测分布
7.53%8.65%8.60%10.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.6210.5012.2511.76%9.41%9.52%8.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 15.61%6.41公平赔率
EV +5.37%
优势 +0.796%
Kelly +0.934%
增长率 +0.050%
假设最高赔率为 6.75
博彩公司预测分布
14.20%15.74%15.46%17.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.205.966.006.7519.23%16.77%16.67%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chelsea (主队)：75.74%；Luton (客队)：8.65%；平局：15.61%。 对于“Luton (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.56。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.25，对应+5.99%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.67%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -9.15%E -0.871%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.64%EV +3.03%E +0.459%K +0.541%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 03:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -13.47%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 04:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -13.47%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 04:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.12%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.33%EV -3.87%E -0.348%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 14.55%EV -0.717%E -0.113%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.86%EV +5.99%E +0.489%K +0.533%G +0.032% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV -0.873%E -0.138%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 03:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.80%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 04:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -17.80%E -1.87%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 04:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -0.495%E -0.043%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.82%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.63%E -9.01%K -59.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 11:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -10.63%E -9.01%K -59.06%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -9.15%E -0.871%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-12 10:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -13.47%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 04:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.16%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -0.495%E -0.043%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 16:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.16%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -0.495%E -0.043%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.63%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.47%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -2.30%E -1.78%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -13.47%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -9.15%E -0.871%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.73%EV -9.87%E -8.30%K -51.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -26.45%E -3.11%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -13.47%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -17.26%E -3.26%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 07:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.27%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV +3.83%E +0.319%K +0.348%G +0.013% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -18.04%E -3.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 11:07 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.22%EV -10.63%E -9.01%K -59.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -26.45%E -3.11%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.62%EV -18.83%E -3.62%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。