The School of Odds

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-08 18:45 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Bristol City (Local)

1.2281.97%Min
1.2778.72%Mean
1.2778.74%Median
1.3076.92%Max
69.17%1.446Min
75.21%1.330Max
72.45%1.380Mean
73.18%1.367Median
72.62%1.377IQM
73.12%1.368Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.30 under the IQM model: 72.62%

EV -5.59%Edge -4.30%Kelly -18.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Walsall (Visit)

7.0014.29%Min
8.2012.19%Mean
7.5013.33%Median
11.009.09%Max
8.75%11.427Min
12.85%7.785Max
10.63%9.405Mean
9.92%10.081Median
10.52%9.504IQM
10.20%9.803Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 11.00 under the IQM model: 10.52%

EV +15.74%Edge +1.43%Kelly +1.57%Growth +0.248%

Option 3: Draw

5.0020.00%Min
5.3818.57%Mean
5.4018.52%Median
6.0016.67%Max
16.04%6.233Min
17.98%5.560Max
16.92%5.910Mean
16.90%5.916Median
16.86%5.932IQM
16.68%5.997Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.00 under the IQM model: 16.86%

EV +1.14%Edge +0.190%Kelly +0.228%Growth +0.003%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBristol City (Local)Walsall (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.28I 78.13% NM 75.21%EV -7.04% E -5.50% K -25.16% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.75%EV +15.74% E +1.43% K +1.57% G +0.248%6.00I 16.67% NM 16.04%EV +1.14% E +0.190% K +0.228% G +0.003%3.9%2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13% NM 73.82%EV -7.04% E -5.50% K -25.16% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 9.00%EV +10.48% E +0.998% K +1.10% G +0.116%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.18%EV -7.29% E -1.33% K -1.62% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-02 20:05
SportsBet1.25I 80.00% NM 73.95%EV -9.22% E -7.38% K -36.89% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.24%EV +5.22% E +0.522% K +0.580% G +0.030%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.81%EV -7.29% E -1.33% K -1.62% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00% NM 73.95%EV -9.22% E -7.38% K -36.89% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.24%EV +5.22% E +0.522% K +0.580% G +0.030%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.81%EV -7.29% E -1.33% K -1.62% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00% NM 73.95%EV -9.22% E -7.38% K -36.89% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.24%EV +5.22% E +0.522% K +0.580% G +0.030%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.81%EV -7.29% E -1.33% K -1.62% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 14:29
1xBet1.27I 78.74% NM 73.76%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%9.85I 10.15% NM 9.51%EV +3.64% E +0.369% K +0.411% G +0.015%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.73%EV -5.60% E -1.00% K -1.22% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 18:19
FanDuel1.24I 80.65% NM 74.18%EV -9.95% E -8.02% K -41.45% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.68%EV -0.045% E -0.005% K -0.005% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.14%EV -3.92% E -0.687% K -0.834% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-02 21:24
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97% NM 72.49%EV -11.40% E -9.35% K -51.82% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 9.83%EV -5.31% E -0.590% K -0.663% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.69%EV -15.72% E -3.14% K -3.93% G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-27 15:10
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13% NM 71.70%EV -7.04% E -5.50% K -25.16% G +0.000%7.90I 12.66% NM 11.62%EV -16.88% E -2.14% K -2.45% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.69%EV -7.29% E -1.33% K -1.62% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 10:20
BetRivers1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -7.77% E -6.12% K -28.78% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -21.09% E -2.81% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -8.98% E -1.66% K -2.04% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -5.59% E -4.30% K -18.64% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -26.35% E -3.76% K -4.39% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -15.72% E -3.14% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -5.59% E -4.30% K -18.64% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -26.35% E -3.76% K -4.39% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -15.72% E -3.14% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -5.59% E -4.30% K -18.64% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -26.35% E -3.76% K -4.39% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -15.72% E -3.14% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -5.59% E -4.30% K -18.64% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -26.35% E -3.76% K -4.39% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -15.72% E -3.14% K -3.93% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerBristol City (Local)Walsall (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-06-26 11:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-06-26 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-06-26 12:09