Language:English
Bradford City v Burnley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bradford City (Local)
Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV +0.161%
Edge +0.042%
Kelly +0.058%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%26.37%26.29%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.463.503.8031.75%28.87%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burnley (Visit)
Prediction 46.19%2.17fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.33%46.19%46.20%48.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.032.1052.63%49.44%49.26%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.44%27.52%28.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.5431.25%29.66%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 26.36%; Burnley (Visit): 46.19%; Draw: 27.45%. For Bradford City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.161%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.161%E +0.042%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -12.24%E -6.44%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.67%EV -0.103%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.99%EV -8.09%E -4.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV -1.95%E -0.524%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.94%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -2.81%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -2.47%E -0.669%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.76%EV -4.85%E -2.36%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -2.81%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.669%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.79%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.96%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.79%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.96%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -6.24%E -3.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -8.55%E -4.32%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -8.55%E -4.32%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.94%E -5.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:37 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -3.93%E -1.89%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.94%E -5.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.94%E -5.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.94%E -5.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.75%E -2.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.94%E -5.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.94%E -5.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -10.38%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -10.86%E -5.63%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.70%E -3.49%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.70%E -3.32%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.02%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.63%E -3.81%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -14.34%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -5.78%E -2.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.34%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -8.55%E -4.32%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.33%EV -5.78%E -2.83%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.97%E -5.39%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.55%E -4.32%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -16.97%E -5.39%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.55%E -4.32%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -16.97%E -5.39%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -9.01%E -4.57%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-26 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 18:40 |