语言:简体中文
Bradford City v Burnley
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bradford City (主队)
预测 26.81%3.73公平赔率
EV +0.536%
优势 +0.143%
Kelly +0.195%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.53%26.72%27.10%29.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.443.403.7530.77%29.06%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Burnley (客队)
预测 45.28%2.21公平赔率
EV +1.88%
优势 +0.836%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.028%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
42.89%45.39%44.90%48.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.802.042.072.2555.56%49.12%48.31%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.91%3.58公平赔率
EV -4.55%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.42
博彩公司预测分布
26.59%27.89%28.00%28.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.333.303.4231.25%30.01%30.30%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bradford City (主队)：26.81%；Burnley (客队)：45.28%；平局：27.91%。 对于“Burnley (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.21。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.25，对应+1.88%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.89%EV -10.46%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.88%E +0.836%K +1.50%G +0.028% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.22%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-13 01:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.15%EV +0.975%E +0.437%K +0.793%G +0.008% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.13%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -0.383%E -0.174%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-13 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.71%EV -5.90%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30%EV -6.27%E -3.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 09:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -13.06%E -6.80%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -0.805%E -0.217%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -13.51%E -7.08%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 17:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -0.805%E -0.217%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -13.51%E -7.08%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV +0.536%E +0.143%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -13.97%E -7.35%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -17.59%E -9.66%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -18.50%E -10.28%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。