Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Blackpool v Lincoln City

Início: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Blackpool 1–4 Lincoln City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Blackpool (Local)

Previsão 32.87%3.04odd justa
EV +0.241%
Vantagem +0.079%
Kelly +0.117%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.86%32.70%32.83%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.672.862.853.0537.45%34.97%35.09%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lincoln City (Visitante)

Previsão 39.60%2.53odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.65%39.80%39.50%42.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.302.302.4647.17%43.44%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.54%3.63odd justa
EV -0.867%
Vantagem -0.241%
Kelly -0.333%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.25%27.50%27.67%28.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.50%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Blackpool (Local): 32.87%; Lincoln City (Visitante): 39.60%; Empate: 27.54%. Para Blackpool (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.241%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:14
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -14.07%E -6.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.84%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.59%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -5.55%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:19
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 18:28
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -16.05%E -7.57%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -16.05%E -7.57%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -16.05%E -7.57%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:30
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 18:29
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.13%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.13%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:34
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:19
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.52%EV -8.30%E -2.98%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:26
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:29
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-25 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.22%EV -12.25%E -4.59%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.07%EV -10.11%E -4.46%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:24
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:39