Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Blackpool v Lincoln City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Score final : Blackpool 1–4 Lincoln City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Blackpool (Local)

Prévision 32.87%3.04cote équitable
EV +0.241%
Avantage +0.079%
Kelly +0.117%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.86%32.70%32.83%34.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.672.862.853.0537.45%34.97%35.09%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.60%2.53cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.65%39.80%39.50%42.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.302.302.4647.17%43.44%43.48%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.54%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.867%
Avantage -0.241%
Kelly -0.333%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.25%27.50%27.67%28.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Blackpool (Local) : 32.87% ; Lincoln City (Visiteur) : 39.60% ; Match nul : 27.54%. Pour Blackpool (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.04. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +0.241%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.241%E +0.079%K +0.117%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:14
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -3.05%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -14.07%E -6.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.84%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.59%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -5.55%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -4.03%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:19
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 18:28
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -16.05%E -7.57%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -16.05%E -7.57%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -16.05%E -7.57%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:30
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 18:29
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.13%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.13%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:34
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:19
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.52%EV -8.30%E -2.98%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -0.867%E -0.241%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:26
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.62%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:29
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-25 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.22%EV -12.25%E -4.59%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.07%EV -10.11%E -4.46%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:24
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-25 18:39