Language:English
Birmingham City v Brentford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Birmingham City (Local)
Prediction 22.51%4.44fair odd
EV +4.47%
Edge +0.962%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 4.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%22.46%22.55%24.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.204.6426.67%24.20%23.81%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brentford (Visit)
Prediction 51.73%1.93fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.23%51.78%51.74%54.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.791.8758.82%56.07%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -0.841%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.295%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.76%25.72%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.653.8530.30%27.48%27.43%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Birmingham City (Local): 22.51%; Brentford (Visit): 51.73%; Draw: 25.76%. For Birmingham City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.43%EV +4.47%E +0.962%K +1.23%G +0.055% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.95%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.62%EV -8.31%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV +1.31%E +0.292%K +0.375%G +0.005% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.13%E -0.560%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV +1.31%E +0.292%K +0.375%G +0.005% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.44%E -4.77%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.31%E +0.292%K +0.375%G +0.005% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +1.31%E +0.292%K +0.375%G +0.005% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.06%E -7.09%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.938%E -0.213%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.938%E -0.213%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.33%EV -5.85%E -3.21%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.73%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.98%EV -1.61%E -0.369%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.64%EV -3.78%E -2.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -6.25%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV -2.06%E -0.474%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.19%EV -6.51%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -2.06%E -0.474%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.51%E -0.581%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -2.51%E -0.581%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -10.51%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -4.32%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.48%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -4.32%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.48%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -4.82%E -2.62%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -7.40%E -4.14%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -0.841%E -0.219%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.13%E -0.560%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -8.95%E -5.09%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -10.51%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.01%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -7.69%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.33%E -2.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.69%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.94%E -2.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.47%E -5.41%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.07%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.07%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.99%E -5.74%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.50%EV -11.07%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.37%EV -10.51%E -6.07%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -4.30%E -2.32%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -6.89%E -3.83%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -13.32%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.42%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -13.32%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -7.92%E -4.45%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.99%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -13.32%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -12.06%E -7.09%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -13.32%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -12.06%E -7.09%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -13.32%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -12.06%E -7.09%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -15.57%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.89%EV -8.95%E -5.09%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |