The School of Odds
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Wrexham AFC v Middlesbrough

2026-11-04 19:45 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wrexham AFC (Local)

Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV -0.807%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.33%29.33%29.24%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.173.4035.71%31.71%31.60%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middlesbrough (Visit)

Prediction 45.04%2.22fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.76%44.95%45.03%46.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.052.052.1554.64%48.74%48.66%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.529%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%25.72%25.73%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.603.8029.85%27.94%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wrexham AFC (Local): 29.17%; Middlesbrough (Visit): 45.04%; Draw: 25.79%. For Wrexham AFC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -0.807%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -0.807%E -0.237%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.53%EV -4.52%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -0.807%E -0.237%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.53%EV -4.52%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -0.807%E -0.237%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.53%EV -4.52%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 23:04
GTbets🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.61%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.41%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-29 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 01:10
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 01:10
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 01:10
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 01:10
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 01:10
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-29 22:40
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 22:40
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -9.02%E -4.47%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 01:25
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -8.12%E -3.98%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 01:10
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -7.52%E -2.37%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.44%EV -7.81%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 02:30
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.02%E -4.47%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.02%E -4.47%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 01:10
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.02%E -4.47%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 01:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.02%E -4.47%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 01:10
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 16:14
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 22:44
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -11.72%E -5.98%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -13.62%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-30 01:10
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 17:57
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 21:00
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -12.62%E -6.51%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -11.55%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-29 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.74%EV -13.94%E -4.72%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -17.58%E -9.61%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.93%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-29 16:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 06:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -15.98%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-29 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.22%EV -18.31%E -6.54%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.53%EV -14.43%E -7.59%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.26%EV -13.62%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-29 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 30.08%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.56%13.1%2026-10-30 02:35
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 29.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%13.2%2026-10-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 26.92%1.13I 88.50%NM 48.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 24.95%83.9%2026-10-30 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 26.92%1.13I 88.50%NM 48.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 24.95%83.9%2026-10-30 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 26.92%1.13I 88.50%NM 48.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 24.95%83.9%2026-10-30 00:55