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Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth

2026-10-20 18:45 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 60.39%1.66fair odd
EV -6.39%
Edge -4.12%
Kelly -11.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.10%60.39%60.39%62.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.501.501.5570.92%66.55%66.45%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portsmouth (Visit)

Prediction 17.20%5.81fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +0.535%
Kelly +0.642%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.12%17.20%17.20%18.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.445.506.0021.74%18.38%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.41%4.46fair odd
EV +0.832%
Edge +0.185%
Kelly +0.238%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.49%22.41%22.41%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.194.204.5026.32%23.89%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local): 60.39%; Portsmouth (Visit): 17.20%; Draw: 22.41%. For Portsmouth (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.39%EV -6.39%E -4.12%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV +3.21%E +0.535%K +0.642%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.832%E +0.185%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.4%2026-10-13 20:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.39%EV -6.39%E -4.12%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV +3.21%E +0.535%K +0.642%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.832%E +0.185%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.4%2026-10-13 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.39%EV -6.39%E -4.12%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV +3.21%E +0.535%K +0.642%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.832%E +0.185%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.4%2026-10-13 20:20
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -3.67%E -0.656%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.65%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-13 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -8.81%E -5.83%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.67%E -0.656%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.65%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 20:14
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -8.81%E -5.83%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.67%E -0.656%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.65%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 20:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -8.81%E -5.83%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.67%E -0.656%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.65%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 20:15
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -8.81%E -5.83%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.67%E -0.656%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.65%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -8.81%E -5.83%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.67%E -0.656%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -3.65%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.77%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-13 19:14
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 20:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.39%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-13 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-13 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -7.11%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-13 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -11.22%E -7.64%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -8.83%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-13 20:15
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -12.27%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.61%E -3.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-13 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -9.41%E -6.28%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-13 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.94%EV -11.83%E -8.10%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.56%EV -13.06%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-13 19:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.67%EV -14.85%E -10.53%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.11%EV -13.99%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -13.73%E -3.57%K -4.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-13 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.10%EV -13.04%E -9.05%K -29.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.50%EV -20.87%E -4.54%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.40%EV -14.85%E -3.91%K -5.30%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-13 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%5.9%2026-10-14 00:05