Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

West Ham United v Southampton

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Championship

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

West Ham United (Local)

Previsão 56.60%1.77odd justa
EV -3.21%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -4.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.41%56.70%56.62%58.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.651.651.7165.79%60.72%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Southampton (Visitante)

Previsão 21.37%4.68odd justa
EV +1.49%
Vantagem +0.313%
Kelly +0.397%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.99%21.25%21.30%23.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.344.384.7527.40%23.04%22.86%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.03%4.54odd justa
EV -0.855%
Vantagem -0.190%
Kelly -0.244%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.93%22.04%22.08%23.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.144.104.5026.32%24.15%24.39%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: West Ham United (Local): 56.60%; Southampton (Visitante): 21.37%; Empate: 22.03%. Para Southampton (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.68. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV +1.49%E +0.313%K +0.397%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.36%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.37%EV +0.420%E +0.089%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -0.855%E -0.190%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.52%EV -3.21%E -1.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%EV -1.72%E -0.373%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.52%EV -3.21%E -1.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%EV -1.72%E -0.373%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.52%EV -3.21%E -1.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%EV -1.72%E -0.373%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -1.72%E -0.373%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.98%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -1.72%E -0.373%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -10.00%E -6.29%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -1.72%E -0.373%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.85%E -0.856%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -0.855%E -0.190%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -6.61%E -4.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.85%E -0.856%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -3.06%E -0.695%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.85%E -0.856%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -0.855%E -0.190%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.85%E -0.856%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 14:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.85%E -0.856%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -3.85%E -0.856%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.53%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 15:15
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 15:20
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 14:25
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 14:20
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 14:24
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.66%EV -6.04%E -3.64%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.34%E -2.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -8.13%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.85%EV -4.38%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -6.61%E -4.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -8.13%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.97%E -3.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.97%E -3.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.97%E -3.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.52%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.97%E -3.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 15:09
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 19:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -4.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 19:49
picklebet_au🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.61%E -4.00%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.07%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 15:05
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.09%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -12.97%E -3.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -14.96%E -3.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -14.07%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.35%EV -13.97%E -9.19%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.68%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.96%EV -14.07%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-17 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.41%EV -11.70%E -7.50%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.25%EV -22.01%E -6.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.34%EV -16.28%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-17 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.38%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%3.1%2026-10-17 20:00
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 25.87%1.01I 99.01%NM 42.27%1.34I 74.63%NM 31.86%134.2%2026-10-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 25.23%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.39%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.39%138.8%2026-10-17 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 25.23%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.39%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.39%138.8%2026-10-17 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 25.23%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.39%1.12I 89.29%NM 37.39%138.8%2026-10-17 20:00