Language:English
West Ham United v Derby County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Ham United (Local)
Prediction 67.61%1.48fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -9.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%67.51%67.61%69.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.371.381.4276.34%72.83%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derby County (Visit)
Prediction 12.64%7.91fair odd
EV +10.58%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.144%
assuming max odds 8.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.89%12.65%12.61%14.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.567.508.7516.67%13.24%13.33%11.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%19.84%19.78%21.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.734.755.0023.53%21.14%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Ham United (Local): 67.61%; Derby County (Visit): 12.64%; Draw: 19.75%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.91. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV +10.58%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.144% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.42%E +0.873%K +0.989%G +0.073% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.42%E +0.873%K +0.989%G +0.073% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.42%E +0.873%K +0.989%G +0.073% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.42%E +0.873%K +0.989%G +0.073% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.68%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +7.42%E +0.873%K +0.989%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.98%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV +7.42%E +0.873%K +0.989%G +0.073% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.03%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.29%EV +5.78%E +0.690%K +0.784%G +0.045% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.68%EV -13.90%E -3.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.03%EV -4.66%E -3.31%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.29%EV +5.78%E +0.690%K +0.784%G +0.045% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.68%EV -13.90%E -3.19%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 04:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.40%E -7.01%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +1.10%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -1.43%E -0.183%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.45%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.52%EV -3.95%E -0.520%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.45%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.52%EV -3.95%E -0.520%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.61%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.59%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.26%E -0.251%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -5.22%E -0.696%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.80%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.83%EV -6.48%E -0.876%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -6.48%E -0.876%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 7.38I 13.55%NM 12.69%EV -6.73%E -0.912%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.98%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -8.38%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -8.38%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.01%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -8.38%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -14.09%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.29%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.22%EV -8.63%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.54%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.54%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.54%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.54%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -11.54%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -6.69%E -4.85%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -11.54%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.30%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.17%EV -12.80%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.54%EV -8.17%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.03%EV -12.80%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.34%EV -8.17%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.86%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.34%E -3.81%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -5.21%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.25%EV -11.43%E -8.72%K -36.86%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.56%EV -19.12%E -2.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%EV -15.08%E -3.51%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-04 14:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.62%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.55%EV -24.17%E -4.03%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -13.11%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.71% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |