Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Bromwich Albion v Watford

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Bromwich Albion (Local)

Prediction 46.63%2.14fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%46.60%46.56%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.002.002.0554.35%50.06%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Watford (Visit)

Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%25.58%25.62%26.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.603.8030.77%27.61%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.15%27.82%27.82%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.343.5032.26%30.01%29.94%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: West Bromwich Albion (Local): 46.63%; Watford (Visit): 25.59%; Draw: 27.78%. For Watford (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -2.75%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:24
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:25
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:15
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 17:15
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -5.34%E -2.63%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -7.10%E -1.96%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:09
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -5.81%E -2.88%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -2.75%E -0.724%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -2.77%E -0.792%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -6.28%E -3.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.77%E -0.792%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.77%E -0.792%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:30
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.31%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -7.67%E -3.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -4.03%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 16:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.43%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -12.34%E -6.56%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.99%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-29 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.80%E -6.85%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.27%EV -11.20%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.30%EV -14.20%E -7.72%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.21%EV -16.83%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.77%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.77%8.1%2026-08-29 19:15