The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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West Bromwich Albion v Burnley

2026-08-23 11:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Bromwich Albion (Local)

Prediction 33.39%2.99fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.53%33.42%33.38%34.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.802.9040.00%36.06%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burnley (Visit)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.30%38.14%38.16%39.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.452.5045.45%41.44%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.47%3.51fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.946%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%28.44%28.47%29.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.253.303.4032.79%30.76%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: West Bromwich Albion (Local): 33.39%; Burnley (Visit): 38.14%; Draw: 28.47%. For West Bromwich Albion (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -3.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 11:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 12:35
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:44
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 12:30
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:44
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -6.84%E -2.45%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.63%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:30
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:30
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:44
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:44
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 12:14
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 12:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -12.18%E -4.63%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -13.03%E -5.72%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 12:33
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.52%E -4.78%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.83%EV -16.52%E -6.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.44%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%18.2%2026-08-15 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 33.54%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.65%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.81%16.5%2026-08-15 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 12:00

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