Language:English
Watford v Stoke City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Watford (Local)
Prediction 39.92%2.50fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.706%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.55%39.86%39.86%40.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.362.5546.51%42.32%42.37%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stoke City (Visit)
Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.20%32.28%32.27%33.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.883.0038.46%35.00%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%27.86%27.87%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.353.5032.26%30.17%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Watford (Local): 39.92%; Stoke City (Visit): 32.23%; Draw: 27.85%. For Watford (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.78%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.78%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.78%EV +1.80%E +0.706%K +1.16%G +0.021% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -2.19%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.37%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%EV -4.91%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -7.49%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 01:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.14%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.21%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.34%EV -7.55%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.83%EV -4.59%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%EV -4.59%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.83%EV -4.59%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%EV -4.59%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.88%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.88%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.39%E -2.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.49%E -2.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -3.62%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -4.49%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.91%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 06:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.91%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.87%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.08%EV -5.88%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.14%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.14%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 01:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -6.98%E -3.00%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.20%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 06:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 06:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 06:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 00:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.75%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.91%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.26%EV -12.33%E -4.53%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -12.97%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.68%EV -14.17%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.81%EV -16.19%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-08 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |