Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Watford v Preston North End

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — Championship

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (3 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Watford (Casa)

Previsione 46.69%2.14quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.57%46.69%47.20%47.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.842.002.022.0854.35%49.99%49.50%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Preston North End (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.39%3.79quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.17%26.39%26.20%27.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.483.503.6531.75%28.74%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.92%3.71quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.33%26.92%26.60%27.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.393.403.6030.77%29.53%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Watford (Casa): 46.69%; Preston North End (Trasferta): 26.39%; Pareggio: 26.92%. Per Watford (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.14. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.08, con un valore atteso del -2.89%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -2.89%E -1.39%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -2.89%E -1.39%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -2.89%E -1.39%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 12:10
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:10
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:10
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.29%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 11:24
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -5.77%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 11:34
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 12:05
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.68%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.09%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.06%EV -12.70%E -6.79%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-03 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -13.16%E -7.08%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-03 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.51%EV -14.10%E -7.66%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.86%E -5.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-03 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 46.37%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%10.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%13.7%2026-09-03 11:20