Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Watford v Middlesbrough

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — Championship

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Watford (Local)

Previsão 18.09%5.53odd justa
EV -0.502%
Vantagem -0.091%
Kelly -0.112%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.12%18.14%18.13%19.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.305.115.135.5023.26%19.56%19.49%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Middlesbrough (Visitante)

Previsão 61.02%1.64odd justa
EV -4.20%
Vantagem -2.68%
Kelly -7.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.48%60.96%61.00%62.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.68%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.89%4.79odd justa
EV -0.763%
Vantagem -0.161%
Kelly -0.204%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.02%20.90%20.87%21.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.054.384.354.7524.69%22.85%22.99%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Watford (Local): 18.09%; Middlesbrough (Visitante): 61.02%; Empate: 20.89%. Para Watford (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 5.53. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 5.50, com valor esperado de -0.502%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 18:40
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 18:45
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 18:44
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -4.81%E -3.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -0.763%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 18:40
SportsBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -4.81%E -3.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 18:40
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 17:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:40
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 19:45
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 19:44
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 18:39
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 18:40
Bally Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 18:40
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.94%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:38
1xBet🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.10%EV -6.65%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.66%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:45
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.74%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.74%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.81%E -3.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -0.763%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 18:45
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.42%E -3.50%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 18:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.42%E -3.50%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:55
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 18:14
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.48%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 18:45
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 18:40
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:45
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:40
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.86%E -5.21%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.86%E -5.21%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:40
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.86%E -5.21%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -13.17%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -14.34%E -3.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-31 18:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -11.52%E -7.95%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.45%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.61%EV -14.58%E -10.41%K -36.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 20.95%EV -15.39%E -3.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-31 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 19.78%EV -22.21%E -5.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 59.48%EV -12.74%E -8.91%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.74%EV -14.34%E -3.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%17.6%2026-10-31 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%13.7%2026-10-31 17:55
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 28.99%1.39I 71.94%NM 47.34%2.78I 35.97%NM 23.67%52.0%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45