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Watford v Middlesbrough
Résultat du match
Watford (Local)
Prévision 18.09%5.53cote équitable
EV -0.502%
Avantage -0.091%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.12%18.14%18.13%19.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.305.115.135.5023.26%19.56%19.49%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Middlesbrough (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.02%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -7.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.48%60.96%61.00%62.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.68%65.36%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.89%4.79cote équitable
EV -0.763%
Avantage -0.161%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.02%20.90%20.87%21.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.054.384.354.7524.69%22.85%22.99%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Watford (Local) : 18.09% ; Middlesbrough (Visiteur) : 61.02% ; Match nul : 20.89%. Pour Watford (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.53. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 5.50, pour une espérance de -0.502% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -0.502%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-31 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -4.81%E -3.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -0.763%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -4.81%E -3.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.20%E -2.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-31 17:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-31 19:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.02%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-31 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.94%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-31 18:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.10%EV -6.65%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.66%EV -6.03%E -3.92%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.74%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.74%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.81%E -3.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -0.763%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.42%E -3.50%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.42%E -3.50%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-31 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.48%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.47%E -5.65%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.86%E -5.21%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.86%E -5.21%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -7.86%E -5.21%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -13.17%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -14.34%E -3.50%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -11.52%E -7.95%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-31 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.45%EV -16.78%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.61%EV -14.58%E -10.41%K -36.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 20.95%EV -15.39%E -3.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-10-31 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.78%EV -22.21%E -5.17%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.48%EV -12.74%E -8.91%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.74%EV -14.34%E -3.50%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-10-31 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45% | 13.7% | 2026-10-31 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 28.99% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 47.34% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 23.67% | 52.0% | 2026-10-31 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-10-31 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-10-31 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-10-31 19:45 |