A Escola das Odds

Watford v Charlton Athletic

Início: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Watford (Local)

Previsão 48.52%2.06odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -2.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.69%48.62%48.44%51.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.901.912.0056.50%52.65%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Charlton Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 23.75%4.21odd justa
EV +6.87%
Vantagem +1.53%
Kelly +1.96%
Crescimento +0.135%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.28%23.64%23.79%24.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.043.984.5027.03%24.77%25.13%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.73%3.61odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.436%
Kelly -0.607%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.64%27.73%27.77%29.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.403.5533.33%29.56%29.41%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.75%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV +6.87%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.135%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -1.55%E -0.436%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 12:15
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.75%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV +6.87%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.135%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -1.55%E -0.436%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 12:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.75%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV +6.87%E +1.53%K +1.96%G +0.135%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -1.55%E -0.436%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 12:15
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +4.50%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.060%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:20
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -12.18%E -6.73%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV +3.31%E +0.761%K +0.988%G +0.033%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:20
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -12.18%E -6.73%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV +3.31%E +0.761%K +0.988%G +0.033%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:19
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -13.64%E -7.66%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV +2.12%E +0.494%K +0.643%G +0.014%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:20
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -14.12%E -7.98%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV +0.936%E +0.220%K +0.288%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.252%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:35
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.252%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -13.15%E -7.35%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -0.252%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -13.15%E -7.35%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -0.252%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:20
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.56%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.34%EV -1.68%E -0.405%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.09%EV -4.60%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:40
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:35
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:39
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:39
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 04:15
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 07:39
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:37
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:40
Betsson1.99I 50.25%NM 47.78%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.01%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -6.54%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:39
NordicBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.78%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.01%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -6.54%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:40
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.85%E -3.57%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.37%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:34
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.03%EV -7.37%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:40
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.85%E -3.57%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 12:07
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 04:13
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:38
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:34
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:34
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -9.76%E -5.25%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 04:15
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 04:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 04:15
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 04:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:15
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -11.21%E -6.13%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 04:15
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.95%EV -14.12%E -7.98%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.66%EV -10.73%E -5.83%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -12.13%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 13:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-04-06 13:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-04-06 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-06 13:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-06 09:35