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Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Swansea City (Local)

Prediction 38.31%2.61fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%38.26%38.33%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.422.452.5046.51%41.35%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Bromwich Albion (Visit)

Prediction 33.13%3.02fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.95%33.06%33.17%35.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.742.752.9440.82%36.54%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -0.060%
Edge -0.017%
Kelly -0.024%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.68%28.50%29.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.5033.33%30.64%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Swansea City (Local): 38.31%; West Bromwich Albion (Visit): 33.13%; Draw: 28.55%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.502. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.500, with an expected value of -0.060%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.92%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 00:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.060%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 00:25
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -1.49%E -0.431%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-07 20:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-07 20:35
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.51%EV -2.59%E -0.880%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.28%EV -5.37%E -2.17%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.06%EV -5.24%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 11:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 11:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 00:30
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 00:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 14:15
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 14:12
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.80%EV -7.67%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.69%EV -5.24%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.51%EV -6.34%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-07 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.05%E -3.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 00:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.95%EV -8.43%E -3.53%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -6.34%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-07 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -9.97%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.88%E -5.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.63%E -2.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-08 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.03%EV -13.03%E -5.74%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.12%EV -16.17%E -6.39%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-08 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.82%EV -13.80%E -6.13%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.73%EV -18.82%E -7.68%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.45%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%17.5%2026-11-08 14:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.55%EV -17.63%E -8.20%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.83%EV -18.82%E -7.68%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.63%EV -14.34%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-08 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%16.8%2026-11-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%171.1%2026-11-08 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%171.1%2026-11-08 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%174.4%2026-11-08 08:20

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