Language:English
Swansea City v Watford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swansea City (Local)
Prediction 50.70%1.97fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.89%50.72%50.74%52.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.39%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Watford (Visit)
Prediction 23.12%4.33fair odd
EV +0.784%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.233%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%23.07%23.10%24.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.074.104.3627.03%24.56%24.39%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.652%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%26.22%26.17%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.7530.30%27.99%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swansea City (Local): 50.70%; Watford (Visit): 23.12%; Draw: 26.19%. For Watford (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.784%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.28%EV +0.784%E +0.180%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.621%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -11.28%E -6.45%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.603%E -0.140%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.15%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.59%EV -1.07%E -0.249%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.63%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.80%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.13%EV -1.30%E -0.304%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.80%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.13%EV -1.30%E -0.304%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.07%EV -8.60%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.63%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.06%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.63%E -0.986%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.58%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -1.79%E -0.478%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.58%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -1.79%E -0.478%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.58%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -1.79%E -0.478%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.91%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.91%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.91%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.91%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.76%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.07%E -0.981%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.31%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.20%EV -4.76%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -5.46%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.09%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.35%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.73%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.23%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.79%E -0.478%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.10%E -0.839%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -1.79%E -0.478%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.21%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -8.24%E -4.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -9.76%E -5.48%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -9.76%E -5.48%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -9.25%E -5.17%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -8.69%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.90%EV -9.25%E -5.17%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -8.69%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -9.76%E -5.48%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.27%EV -11.79%E -6.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.07%EV -9.76%E -5.48%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -14.47%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.21%EV -12.30%E -7.11%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -14.47%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |