Language:English
Swansea City v Stoke City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swansea City (Local)
Prediction 49.53%2.02fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%49.51%49.45%50.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.901.911.9758.82%52.71%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stoke City (Visit)
Prediction 23.18%4.31fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%23.17%23.25%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.2527.03%25.08%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.673%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.32%27.30%29.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swansea City (Local): 49.53%; Stoke City (Visit): 23.18%; Draw: 27.29%. For Stoke City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.26%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.33%EV -3.59%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV -3.39%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 14:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 09:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.13%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.03%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -3.11%E -0.877%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -4.90%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -4.90%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -4.90%E -2.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.11%E -0.877%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.62%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -3.39%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -3.39%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.82%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.59%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -1.50%E -0.354%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -1.50%E -0.354%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.14%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.75%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.87%E -4.23%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.59%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -2.66%E -0.634%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -8.36%E -4.52%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -10.08%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:52 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -8.86%E -4.82%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -9.36%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -9.36%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.36%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.36%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -9.36%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -9.36%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.01%EV -12.33%E -6.96%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.45%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -14.03%E -4.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-07 14:47 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.36%EV -15.79%E -9.29%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.68%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 14:05 |