La scuola delle quote

Swansea City v Southampton

Inizio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Finale: Swansea City 1–2 Southampton

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Swansea City (Casa)

Previsione 22.73%4.40quota equa
EV +2.27%
Vantaggio +0.505%
Kelly +0.649%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.16%22.56%22.75%24.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.154.204.5027.40%24.07%23.81%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Southampton (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.83%1.86quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.812%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.98%53.89%53.89%55.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.741.751.8361.73%57.41%57.14%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.44%4.27quota equa
EV +5.01%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescita +0.072%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.67%23.54%23.36%25.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.923.904.4827.40%25.53%25.64%22.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.93I 25.45%NM 24.70%EV -10.68%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.63%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV +5.01%E +1.12%K +1.44%G +0.072%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -5.45%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -3.64%E -2.03%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV -0.849%E -0.201%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.55%E -0.370%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:49
Betsson4.27I 23.42%NM 22.22%EV -2.95%E -0.692%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.85%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.92%EV -2.96%E -0.715%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:40
NordicBet4.27I 23.42%NM 22.22%EV -2.95%E -0.692%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.85%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.92%EV -2.96%E -0.715%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 13:39
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:30
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:30
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:30
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.07%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:39
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +2.27%E +0.505%K +0.649%G +0.015%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:00
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.68%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.50%EV -4.72%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:10
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -1.59%E -0.368%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 12:00
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:40
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -1.59%E -0.368%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:50
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -9.02%E -5.34%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:38
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -12.50%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:40
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.20%EV -1.49%E -0.812%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -7.95%E -4.65%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:00
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:00
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:39
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -11.36%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -10.10%E -6.05%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -9.02%E -5.34%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.83%EV -9.55%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.76%EV -9.02%E -5.34%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -9.05%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:38
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:39
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:39
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -7.95%E -4.65%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:10
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -17.05%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.63%EV -12.79%E -7.90%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 13:39
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:38
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:07
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:39
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.14%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -5.25%E -2.99%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:40
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:40
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -2.27%E -0.529%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:40
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.41%E -0.802%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:39
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:40
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-04-18 13:40