Language:English
Swansea City v Burnley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swansea City (Local)
Prediction 43.78%2.28fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.72%43.88%43.75%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2150.00%47.36%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burnley (Visit)
Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -0.403%
Edge -0.118%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%29.16%29.35%30.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.193.203.4035.09%31.39%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%26.97%26.90%27.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.503.6531.75%28.96%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swansea City (Local): 43.78%; Burnley (Visit): 29.29%; Draw: 26.93%. For Burnley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.403%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.68%E -1.67%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.51%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -8.60%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -5.00%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -1.87%E -0.557%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.72%E -0.471%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -1.87%E -0.557%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.72%E -0.471%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -1.87%E -0.557%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.72%E -0.471%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.60%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -1.87%E -0.557%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.17%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.60%EV -7.19%E -3.39%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -1.87%E -0.557%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.17%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -8.60%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -8.60%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 42.72%EV -8.50%E -4.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 29.37%EV -10.95%E -3.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.94%E -4.30%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.81%E -4.76%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -9.81%E -4.76%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -10.69%E -5.24%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -10.69%E -5.24%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.19%E -2.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.20%EV -11.13%E -5.48%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.57%EV -14.37%E -4.52%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 12:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.44%E -6.22%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -0.403%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.32%EV -12.44%E -6.22%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.17%EV -13.00%E -4.38%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -15.18%E -4.82%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-09 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.80%EV -12.44%E -6.22%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -16.51%E -5.79%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -15.18%E -4.82%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |