Language:English
Stoke City v Watford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stoke City (Local)
Prediction 34.78%2.87fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.89%34.79%34.77%35.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.672.662.8641.67%37.50%37.59%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Watford (Visit)
Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%36.47%36.54%37.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.572.602.7043.48%38.92%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.768%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%28.74%28.70%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.233.253.4235.09%30.96%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stoke City (Local): 34.78%; Watford (Visit): 36.52%; Draw: 28.70%. For Stoke City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.86, with an expected value of -0.517%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.91%EV -0.517%E -0.181%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.73%EV -6.15%E -2.39%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -1.86%E -0.543%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.60%E -0.930%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.99%EV -1.76%E -0.656%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -2.60%E -0.930%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -2.60%E -0.930%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.53%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.39%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -7.61%E -3.01%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.02%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -1.40%E -0.518%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -1.40%E -0.518%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -1.40%E -0.518%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.43%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.04%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.68%EV -7.47%E -2.81%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.75%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -10.47%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.68%EV -7.47%E -2.81%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.75%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -10.47%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.82%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.73%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.84%EV -9.80%E -3.97%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.74%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.64%EV -13.45%E -5.67%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -8.75%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -9.61%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -12.34%E -4.90%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -12.48%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.17%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.35%E -6.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -16.52%E -6.88%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -18.22%E -6.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.31% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.31% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.31% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |