Language:English
Stoke City v Swansea City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stoke City (Local)
Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.97%41.40%41.39%43.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.68%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Swansea City (Visit)
Prediction 30.50%3.28fair odd
EV +3.70%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.79%30.47%30.46%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.13%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.13%28.15%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.5132.79%30.39%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stoke City (Local): 41.42%; Swansea City (Visit): 30.50%; Draw: 28.09%. For Swansea City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.89%EV -7.64%E -3.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV +3.70%E +1.09%K +1.54%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.89%EV -7.64%E -3.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV +3.70%E +1.09%K +1.54%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.89%EV -7.64%E -3.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV +3.70%E +1.09%K +1.54%G +0.057% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.83%EV +2.78%E +0.825%K +1.17%G +0.033% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.00%EV -2.54%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -0.269%E -0.082%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -0.269%E -0.082%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -0.269%E -0.082%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -9.71%E -4.46%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -9.71%E -4.46%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -9.71%E -4.46%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -9.71%E -4.46%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -9.71%E -4.46%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -9.71%E -4.46%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -10.54%E -4.88%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -12.20%E -5.75%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -0.879%E -0.271%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -14.34%E -4.70%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -11.37%E -5.31%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -2.40%E -0.751%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -11.37%E -5.31%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -2.40%E -0.751%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.20%E -5.75%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -2.40%E -0.751%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.90%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.32%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -1.42%E -0.404%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -3.62%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.58%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.49%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -3.62%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.58%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -12.20%E -5.75%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -3.93%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.09%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -4.23%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.19%EV -5.15%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.63%EV -7.88%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.70%E -0.485%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.70%E -0.485%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.45%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.45%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.06%E -1.97%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.70%E -0.485%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.10%E -0.900%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.98%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.50%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.30%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.49%EV -9.11%E -3.06%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.22%EV -9.56%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.55%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.55%E -3.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -13.08%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -13.03%E -6.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.08%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 21:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |