Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stoke City v Sheffield United

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Stoke City 2–1 Sheffield United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stoke City (Local)

Prediction 39.73%2.52fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.841%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.21%39.74%39.61%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.03%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield United (Visit)

Prediction 32.54%3.07fair odd
EV -0.761%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.371%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.98%32.57%32.65%34.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.853.0538.46%35.43%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.61fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%27.69%27.74%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.5031.75%29.80%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stoke City (Local): 39.73%; Sheffield United (Visit): 32.54%; Draw: 27.74%. For Stoke City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.30%E +0.511%K +0.841%G +0.011%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.30%E +0.511%K +0.841%G +0.011%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.30%E +0.511%K +0.841%G +0.011%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 08:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -0.683%E -0.273%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.683%E -0.273%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 04:25
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:24
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:25
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:30
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:30
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -1.48%E -0.596%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -13.78%E -5.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 08:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.29%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.29%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 10:45
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.29%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 10:50
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.59%EV -4.87%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -14.43%E -5.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -14.43%E -5.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.28%EV -3.46%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -15.40%E -5.92%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 08:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.31%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 12:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 15:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.89%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.31%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 15:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.46%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -1.41%E -0.466%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.75%EV -3.76%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:10
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.72%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -3.04%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.56%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:10
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:35
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -14.43%E -5.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -14.43%E -5.49%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:35
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -0.761%E -0.249%K -0.371%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:45
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:12
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 11:35
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.94%EV -7.04%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -4.67%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -7.92%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:19
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.90%EV -9.58%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.11%EV -7.83%E -3.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -4.99%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -7.92%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.39%E -0.796%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:12
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.92%E -0.836%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.39%E -0.796%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.39%E -0.796%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:44
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:09
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -2.39%E -0.796%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:10
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:09
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 12:49
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.64%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -11.17%E -4.09%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.69%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -13.78%E -5.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.70%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.63%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -13.78%E -5.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -12.63%E -4.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-18 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-09-18 14:55
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-09-18 14:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-09-18 15:15