The School of Odds
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Stoke City v Norwich City

2026-09-01 19:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stoke City (Local)

Prediction 35.77%2.80fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.10%35.73%35.78%36.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7041.67%38.66%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Visit)

Prediction 37.02%2.70fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.81%36.89%37.00%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.6143.48%39.69%39.22%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.38%27.22%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.5031.25%29.53%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stoke City (Local): 35.77%; Norwich City (Visit): 37.02%; Draw: 27.21%. For Norwich City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.61, with an expected value of -3.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 12:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.22%E -1.97%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 11:50
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 12:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:05
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.16%EV -6.65%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.16%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.68%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:05
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 12:05
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -4.11%E -1.59%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -9.66%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:10
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:05
ReBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.51%EV -8.44%E -3.30%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.11%EV -9.29%E -3.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.38%EV -9.66%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:50
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.59%E -4.23%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.44%E -2.98%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.59%E -4.23%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.14%E -4.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.59%E -4.23%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -12.99%E -5.53%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.10%EV -10.59%E -4.23%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.66%EV -13.73%E -5.89%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -12.38%E -3.85%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.16%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -14.84%E -6.45%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-29 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%5.0%2026-08-29 13:05
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%13.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 12:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 12:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 11:55