Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southampton v Swansea City

Kickoff: 2026-09-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Southampton 3–1 Swansea City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southampton (Local)

Prediction 51.31%1.95fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.99%51.34%51.34%53.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.8958.82%54.80%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Swansea City (Visit)

Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV +0.576%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%23.54%23.59%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.984.004.2627.40%25.12%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.329%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%25.11%25.06%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.683.704.0428.99%27.14%27.03%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southampton (Local): 51.31%; Swansea City (Visit): 23.61%; Draw: 25.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.23%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV +0.340%E +0.080%K +0.105%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.98%EV +1.33%E +0.329%K +0.437%G +0.006%3.2%2026-09-08 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV +0.340%E +0.080%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.60%EV -1.68%E -0.429%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV +0.340%E +0.080%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.60%EV -1.68%E -0.429%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.29%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.71%EV +0.576%E +0.135%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -2.93%E -0.758%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.44%E -0.892%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 07:20
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.89%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.45%EV -4.38%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.44%E -0.892%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -3.20%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 07:00
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 09:44
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -10.28%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.28%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -12.77%E -7.51%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -0.840%E -0.200%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.45%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.57%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -3.20%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 06:49
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -0.840%E -0.200%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 06:45
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.74%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 09:44
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 09:45
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00%EV -3.03%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -0.840%E -0.200%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00%EV -3.03%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -0.840%E -0.200%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00%EV -3.03%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -0.840%E -0.200%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:45
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.20%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.28%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 07:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 18:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.67%E -4.87%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 06:45
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -4.57%E -2.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.91%EV -7.45%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.45%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:49
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.45%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 18:40
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.45%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.09%EV -3.03%E -1.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.91%EV -6.51%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.01%EV -8.70%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 18:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.84%EV -2.26%E -0.545%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.05%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 18:35
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.46%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -9.18%E -5.19%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -9.70%E -5.51%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 06:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.11%EV -12.26%E -7.17%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 18:20
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:50
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -6.10%E -3.34%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.74%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -9.10%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.91%EV -12.26%E -7.17%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-08 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-08 18:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-09-08 18:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-08 18:40
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-09-08 18:40