Language:English
Southampton v Derby County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southampton (Local)
Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.00%58.40%58.39%59.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.6666.23%62.43%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derby County (Visit)
Prediction 18.24%5.48fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.381%
Kelly +0.463%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.76%18.21%18.24%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.095.105.6022.73%19.66%19.61%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.34%4.29fair odd
EV -0.826%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.254%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.39%23.37%25.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.984.004.2528.57%25.15%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southampton (Local): 58.43%; Derby County (Visit): 18.24%; Draw: 23.34%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV +2.13%E +0.381%K +0.463%G +0.010% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.308%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +0.308%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +0.308%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.44%E -6.09%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV +0.308%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.22%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.58%EV +0.125%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -2.93%E -0.703%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.24%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.61%EV -1.70%E -0.315%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.15%EV -8.29%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.24%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.61%EV -1.70%E -0.315%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.15%EV -8.29%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -7.69%E -4.86%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.17%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 13:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.10%E -4.47%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.10%EV -8.85%E -5.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -4.25%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.44%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.73%EV -5.53%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -0.826%E -0.194%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.90%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.99%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.16%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -10.61%E -6.93%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -18.33%E -5.24%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.97%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.70%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.30%EV -8.85%E -5.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.14%EV -8.29%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.85%E -5.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.02%EV -8.85%E -5.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.16%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.46%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.46%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.33%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.46%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.46%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.52%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -8.85%E -5.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -14.28%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -10.02%E -6.51%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -7.83%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.45%EV -11.77%E -7.80%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -19.75%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -11.33%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.94% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |