L’École des cotes

Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prévision 8.48%11.80cote équitable
EV +10.21%
Avantage +0.785%
Kelly +0.851%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.14%8.53%8.45%10.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.7910.5013.0011.76%9.27%9.52%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Southampton (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.46%1.33cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -6.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.77%75.41%75.57%78.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.241.241.3089.29%80.47%80.65%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.06%6.23cote équitable
EV +8.39%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.122%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.27%16.05%15.98%18.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.765.756.7520.00%17.38%17.39%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +8.39%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.122%3.8%2026-02-28 14:15
BetOnline.ag12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +8.39%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.122%3.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Sky Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -9.44%E -7.87%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +4.38%E +0.674%K +0.796%G +0.035%6.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Pinnacle11.62I 8.61%NM 8.18%EV -1.49%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.70%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.12%EV +1.01%E +0.160%K +0.190%G +0.002%5.1%2026-02-28 14:15
BetMGM10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV +0.363%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 11:10
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +0.363%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Coolbet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Victor11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -2.51%E -0.218%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.51%E -0.218%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:15
SportsBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 09:30
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.69%E -7.18%K -41.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:14
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -9.44%E -7.87%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 13:45
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
GTbets11.42I 8.76%NM 8.24%EV -3.19%E -0.279%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.87%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.89%EV -4.94%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:14
Marathon Bet11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV -4.63%E -0.411%K -0.451%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.88%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.26%E -0.891%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -23.70%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.34%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -5.26%E -0.891%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:15
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.00%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:15
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.86%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -2.65%E -2.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -2.65%E -2.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 14:15
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -2.65%E -2.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -21.58%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Neds9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -21.58%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betr (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.96%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:14
BetUS10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.63%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:14
Unibet (FR)9.80I 10.20%NM 9.22%EV -16.92%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.65%EV -8.69%E -7.18%K -41.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -27.94%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 14:15
TAB12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.26%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:13
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:11
Fliff10.30I 9.71%NM 8.78%EV -12.68%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.77%EV -8.69%E -7.18%K -41.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.57%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -13.29%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:15
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.57%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -13.29%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:15
NetBet (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.14%EV -12.46%E -10.74%K -77.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.14%EV -13.29%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -14.89%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.46%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 75.57%EV -15.48%E -13.82%K -129.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.97%EV -14.89%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 14:15
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -27.94%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -1.90%E -1.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -9.44%E -7.87%K -47.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.23%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.51%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%2.4%2026-02-28 14:15