La escuela de los momios

Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 8.48%11.80momio equitativo
EV +10.21%
Ventaja +0.785%
Kelly +0.851%
Crecimiento +0.087%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.14%8.53%8.45%10.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.7910.5013.0011.76%9.27%9.52%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Southampton (Visitante)

Predicción 75.46%1.33momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -6.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.77%75.41%75.57%78.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.241.241.3089.29%80.47%80.65%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 16.06%6.23momio equitativo
EV +8.39%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.122%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.27%16.05%15.98%18.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.765.756.7520.00%17.38%17.39%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +8.39%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.122%3.8%2026-02-28 14:15
BetOnline.ag12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +8.39%E +1.24%K +1.46%G +0.122%3.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Sky Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -9.44%E -7.87%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +4.38%E +0.674%K +0.796%G +0.035%6.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Pinnacle11.62I 8.61%NM 8.18%EV -1.49%E -0.128%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.70%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.12%EV +1.01%E +0.160%K +0.190%G +0.002%5.1%2026-02-28 14:15
BetMGM10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV +0.363%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 11:10
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +0.363%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Coolbet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Victor11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -2.51%E -0.218%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.93%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -2.51%E -0.218%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:15
SportsBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 09:30
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.69%E -7.18%K -41.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:14
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +10.21%E +0.785%K +0.851%G +0.087%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -9.44%E -7.87%K -47.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 13:45
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.65%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
GTbets11.42I 8.76%NM 8.24%EV -3.19%E -0.279%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.87%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.89%EV -4.94%E -0.834%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:14
Marathon Bet11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV -4.63%E -0.411%K -0.451%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.88%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.26%E -0.891%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -23.70%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.34%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -5.26%E -0.891%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:15
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.00%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:15
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.86%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -2.65%E -2.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -2.65%E -2.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 14:15
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.23%EV -2.65%E -2.06%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -21.58%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Neds9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -21.58%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -3.41%E -2.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betr (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.96%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -7.18%E -5.84%K -31.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:14
BetUS10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -7.67%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -4.16%E -3.28%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:15
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -10.99%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.63%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:14
Unibet (FR)9.80I 10.20%NM 9.22%EV -16.92%E -1.73%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.65%EV -8.69%E -7.18%K -41.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -27.94%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -10.07%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 14:15
TAB12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.11%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Caesars12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +1.73%E +0.144%K +0.157%G +0.003%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.26%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:13
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -6.42%E -5.18%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.93%E -6.50%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:11
Fliff10.30I 9.71%NM 8.78%EV -12.68%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.77%EV -8.69%E -7.18%K -41.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.57%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -13.29%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:15
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.57%EV -4.92%E -3.90%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -13.29%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:15
NetBet (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.14%EV -12.46%E -10.74%K -77.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.14%EV -13.29%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -5.67%E -4.54%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -14.89%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.46%EV -15.22%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 75.57%EV -15.48%E -13.82%K -129.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.97%EV -14.89%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 14:15
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -27.94%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -1.90%E -1.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -6.75%E -0.613%K -0.675%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.12%EV -9.44%E -7.87%K -47.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.23%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.51%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%2.4%2026-02-28 14:15