The School of Odds
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Sheffield United v Derby County

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 11:30 UTC

Final: Sheffield United 1–1 Derby County

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield United (Local)

Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.92%53.06%52.89%55.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.761.771.8562.11%56.71%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Derby County (Visit)

Prediction 22.43%4.46fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +0.972%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 4.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.60%22.40%22.41%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.204.6626.67%23.91%23.81%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.60%4.07fair odd
EV -0.376%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.54%24.70%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.754.0528.99%26.59%26.67%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield United (Local): 52.97%; Derby County (Visit): 22.43%; Draw: 24.60%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.32%EV -4.65%E -2.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV +4.53%E +0.972%K +1.24%G +0.056%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.48%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -3.59%E -1.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.941%E +0.209%K +0.269%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 11:16
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -3.59%E -1.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.941%E +0.209%K +0.269%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -3.59%E -1.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.941%E +0.209%K +0.269%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 11:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +0.941%E +0.209%K +0.269%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -1.30%E -0.296%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 08:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.65%E -2.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -2.87%E -0.663%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 04:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.65%E -2.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -2.87%E -0.663%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -2.87%E -0.663%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 04:31
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.36%EV -2.00%E -1.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%EV -3.32%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.16%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-23 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.55%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -1.61%E -0.402%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 20:48
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.55%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -4.07%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 11:16
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.55%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -12.60%E -7.64%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -3.55%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -4.07%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 11:10
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 11:16
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 11:09
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:15
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:16
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:16
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -6.77%E -3.85%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -4.67%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -10.22%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 11:16
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -3.06%E -1.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.30%EV -2.34%E -0.590%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 11:16
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%EV -4.65%E -2.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.84%E -0.718%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%EV -3.06%E -1.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -0.376%E -0.093%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -0.376%E -0.093%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:40
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.81%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.52%EV -0.376%E -0.093%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -3.59%E -1.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 11:16
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.61%E -0.402%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 11:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.30%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 11:10
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.65%E -2.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.65%E -2.59%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 04:31
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 10:24
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 10:24
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.42%E -5.51%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.07%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 11:16
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -6.77%E -3.85%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.79%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -10.22%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 11:16
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 04:31
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 04:30
ReBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -10.22%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.76%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 11:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -6.77%E -3.85%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.45%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 11:16
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.68%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 11:16
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.68%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 11:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.03%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.68%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 11:16
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -9.15%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.38%EV -6.03%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 19:45
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.24%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 11:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 10:46
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 10:46
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 10:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.30%E -4.17%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 10:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.45%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 19:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -15.14%E -4.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 11:16
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.92%EV -10.48%E -6.20%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.64%E -3.54%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.29%EV -14.64%E -4.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-24 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.05%EV -14.72%E -9.14%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -13.64%E -3.54%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.76%EV -15.14%E -4.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-24 11:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -14.76%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.53%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.48%EV -12.60%E -7.64%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.76%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -13.91%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-24 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.89%E -5.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -15.88%E -4.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -8.99%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 54.05%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.98%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%0.0%2026-10-24 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-10-24 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-10-24 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-10-24 11:10
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-10-24 11:25
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-10-24 11:25

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