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Sheffield United v Bolton Wanderers

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield United (Local)

Prediction 62.55%1.60fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%62.41%62.64%64.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5669.93%67.03%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bolton Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 15.27%6.55fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.138%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.10%15.38%15.17%18.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.986.006.5021.28%16.71%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.18%4.51fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.703%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%22.20%22.18%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.174.204.4025.97%23.98%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sheffield United (Local): 62.55%; Bolton Wanderers (Visit): 15.27%; Draw: 22.18%. For Bolton Wanderers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.50, with an expected value of -0.760%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.28%EV -2.42%E -1.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.48%EV -11.45%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -12.21%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -4.93%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -17.55%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 12:45
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.68%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -19.08%E -3.60%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.39%E -0.543%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -3.94%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:46
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 12:51
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.58%E -0.732%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 12:51
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.97%EV -4.42%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 12:46
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 12:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 12:46
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 12:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -22.13%E -4.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -9.04%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -6.80%E -4.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -2.39%E -0.543%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 12:55
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.27%EV -6.80%E -4.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.96%EV -3.81%E -0.605%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -3.94%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -6.80%E -4.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.58%E -0.732%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -2.39%E -0.543%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 12:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -12.21%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -8.05%E -5.48%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -22.13%E -4.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.04%EV -8.68%E -5.95%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -22.13%E -4.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 12:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.34%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -28.24%E -6.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.35%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-29 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.93%E -6.90%K -22.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -3.94%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -10.56%E -7.38%K -24.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.760%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.1%2026-08-29 12:56
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 59.72%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%13.1%2026-08-29 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-29 12:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-29 12:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 11:55