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Queens Park Rangers v Middlesbrough

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.20%27.22%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.403.403.5032.79%29.44%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middlesbrough (Visit)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%45.74%45.76%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.022.052.0753.76%49.44%48.78%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.06%27.02%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.423.6031.75%29.26%29.24%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Queens Park Rangers (Local): 27.23%; Middlesbrough (Visit): 45.77%; Draw: 27.00%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:30
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:25
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:25
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:25
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:25
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 16:25
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -6.87%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.87%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:40
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:25
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:40
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:05
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:10
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:14
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:30
ReBet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.07%EV -8.50%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -8.92%E -4.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -9.82%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:25
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -10.29%E -5.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 26.78%EV -10.95%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10%EV -13.04%E -6.86%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.12%EV -12.79%E -3.96%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 16:28
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.58%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-29 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.72%EV -16.95%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.45%EV -14.87%E -8.00%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -14.95%E -4.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.56%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.34%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.10%15.1%2026-08-29 19:10