Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portsmouth v Sheffield United

2026-10-14 18:45 UTC — Championship

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portsmouth (Local)

Previsão 38.43%2.60odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%38.51%38.32%40.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.402.402.5046.51%41.72%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sheffield United (Visitante)

Previsão 33.42%2.99odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.39%33.47%33.48%34.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.772.752.8839.22%36.11%36.30%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.15%3.55odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.426%
Kelly -0.596%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%28.01%28.20%28.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.293.253.5032.26%30.36%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Portsmouth (Local): 38.43%; Sheffield United (Visitante): 33.42%; Empate: 28.15%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.55. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.50, com valor esperado de -1.49%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.74%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.74%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.74%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:05
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -5.46%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.08%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -4.87%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:00
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.71%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:05
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.00%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -2.90%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.49%E -0.426%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.71%EV -7.75%E -2.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -4.87%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:00
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 17:44
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 17:45
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 20:49
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -1.49%E -0.426%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:05
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:04
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.71%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 18:49
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.49%EV -10.84%E -4.67%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.07%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.44%EV -11.62%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 16:05
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.05%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.79%EV -10.42%E -3.89%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.16%EV -12.19%E -3.91%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-10 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -15.45%E -7.02%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.54%EV -14.77%E -5.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.92%EV -17.38%E -8.08%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.39%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-10 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.24%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%5.1%2026-10-10 17:20
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 38.28%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%13.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:20