StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Portsmouth v Sheffield United

2026-10-14 18:45 UTC — Championship

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (10 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Portsmouth (Heim)

Prognose 38.43%2.60faire Quote
EV -3.93%
Vorteil -1.57%
Kelly -2.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%38.51%38.32%40.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.402.402.5046.51%41.72%41.67%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield United (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.42%2.99faire Quote
EV -3.74%
Vorteil -1.30%
Kelly -1.99%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.39%33.47%33.48%34.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.552.772.752.8839.22%36.11%36.30%34.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.15%3.55faire Quote
EV -1.49%
Vorteil -0.426%
Kelly -0.596%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.76%28.01%28.20%28.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.293.253.5032.26%30.36%30.77%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Portsmouth (Heim): 38.43%; Sheffield United (Auswärts): 33.42%; Unentschieden: 28.15%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.55. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.50, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.49%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.74%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.74%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%EV -3.74%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:05
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.41%EV -5.46%E -2.22%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.63%EV -6.08%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -4.87%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:00
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.71%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:05
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 17:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.00%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -2.90%E -0.840%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.49%E -0.426%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.71%EV -7.75%E -2.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -4.87%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:00
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 17:44
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 17:45
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 20:49
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -1.49%E -0.426%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:05
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:04
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.71%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 18:49
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.49%EV -10.84%E -4.67%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.07%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.44%EV -11.62%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 16:05
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.05%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.79%EV -10.42%E -3.89%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.16%EV -12.19%E -3.91%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-10 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -15.45%E -7.02%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.54%EV -14.77%E -5.79%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.92%EV -17.38%E -8.08%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.39%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-10 18:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.24%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%5.1%2026-10-10 17:20
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 38.28%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%13.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:20