Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portsmouth v Derby County

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portsmouth (Local)

Prediction 44.41%2.25fair odd
EV -0.089%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%44.33%44.54%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.112.102.2552.63%47.50%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Derby County (Visit)

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -0.175%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.83%26.78%26.79%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7231.25%28.63%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.85%28.89%28.67%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.203.203.4035.09%31.29%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portsmouth (Local): 44.41%; Derby County (Visit): 26.83%; Draw: 28.76%. For Portsmouth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.252. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.250, with an expected value of -0.089%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -0.089%E -0.039%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.80%EV -3.08%E -0.913%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-16 19:55
ReBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -4.74%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.89%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -2.05%E -0.563%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.89%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -2.05%E -0.563%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.89%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -2.05%E -0.563%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.71%EV -3.64%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:35
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:04
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.175%E -0.047%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 19:55
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 19:55
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.21%E -0.651%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -1.25%E -0.339%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.83%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.83%EV -1.25%E -0.339%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:45
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.40%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:39
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.34%EV -6.31%E -2.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.43%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.21%E -0.651%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:54
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:44
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:44
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:45
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 19:35
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.64%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -5.54%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.64%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -7.64%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -7.64%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:40
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.64%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.94%EV -8.08%E -3.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.99%EV -9.57%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.06%EV -9.98%E -3.19%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 19:39
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.53%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:50
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:52
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.97%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -10.27%E -3.29%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.40%E -2.99%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 19:39
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.19%E -5.59%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-16 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.59%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -12.79%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -17.17%E -5.96%K -9.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-16 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.66%EV -13.41%E -6.88%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -12.79%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -12.28%E -4.03%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-16 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.24%EV -15.63%E -8.23%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.27%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.49%EV -18.03%E -6.33%K -9.75%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-16 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.49%0.3%2026-03-16 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-16 19:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-16 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-03-16 19:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%1.5%2026-03-16 19:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-03-16 19:45