Language:English
Portsmouth v Derby County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portsmouth (Local)
Prediction 45.82%2.18fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%45.86%45.76%49.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.012.052.1554.95%49.65%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derby County (Visit)
Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV +8.37%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +2.70%
Growth +0.226%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.31%26.28%26.45%27.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.643.604.1030.77%27.44%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.578%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.74%27.86%27.79%28.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.403.5531.75%29.71%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portsmouth (Local): 45.82%; Derby County (Visit): 26.43%; Draw: 27.75%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV +8.37%E +2.04%K +2.70%G +0.226% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV +8.37%E +2.04%K +2.70%G +0.226% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV +8.37%E +2.04%K +2.70%G +0.226% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -12.95%E -6.82%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV +4.40%E +1.11%K +1.49%G +0.066% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.09%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +4.40%E +1.11%K +1.49%G +0.066% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.09%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +4.40%E +1.11%K +1.49%G +0.066% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.09%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +4.40%E +1.11%K +1.49%G +0.066% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.09%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +4.40%E +1.11%K +1.49%G +0.066% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.09%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV +4.40%E +1.11%K +1.49%G +0.066% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -16.62%E -9.13%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV +3.08%E +0.790%K +1.06%G +0.033% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -16.62%E -9.13%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV +3.08%E +0.790%K +1.06%G +0.033% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -13.87%E -7.38%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV +1.76%E +0.457%K +0.617%G +0.011% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -14.32%E -7.66%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV +0.437%E +0.115%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -14.32%E -7.66%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV +0.437%E +0.115%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.23%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.885%E -0.236%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.23%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -0.885%E -0.236%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.885%E -0.236%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -15.24%E -8.24%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -0.885%E -0.236%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.21%E -0.596%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.21%E -0.596%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -2.21%E -0.596%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -2.21%E -0.596%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -2.47%E -0.670%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -3.14%E -0.900%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.85%EV -3.33%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.36%EV -3.00%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.42%E -0.982%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.96%EV -5.16%E -2.49%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.53%E -0.967%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.04%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.97%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.99%E -3.45%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -8.97%E -2.73%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.73%EV -8.69%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.70%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.73%EV -8.69%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.54%E -3.20%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.96%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.74%E -4.95%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -12.95%E -6.82%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.18%EV -7.91%E -3.94%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.67%EV -8.02%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.14%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.96%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.28%E -4.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -10.20%E -5.20%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.49%E -6.54%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |