Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Portsmouth v Blackburn Rovers

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Portsmouth (Local)

Prévision 44.91%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.156%
Avantage +0.070%
Kelly +0.127%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.97%44.96%44.78%46.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.092.102.2352.08%47.77%47.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Blackburn Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.387%
Kelly +0.530%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.57%27.33%27.56%28.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.7033.33%29.91%29.85%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.67%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -0.898%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%27.70%27.66%28.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.5032.26%29.99%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Portsmouth (Local) : 44.91% ; Blackburn Rovers (Visiteur) : 27.41% ; Match nul : 27.67%. Pour Blackburn Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.65. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.70, pour une espérance positive de +1.43%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.60%EV -8.83%E -4.35%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV +1.43%E +0.387%K +0.530%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:55
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.60%EV -8.83%E -4.35%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV +1.43%E +0.387%K +0.530%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.14%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:00
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.14%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:00
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -1.86%E -0.519%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.14%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 15:51
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.14%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 20:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:56
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:59
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.13%E -2.93%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.03%E -3.40%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.25%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 14:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.25%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.25%EV +0.156%E +0.070%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 16:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 18:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:49
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:41
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:40
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:41
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:40
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -9.28%E -4.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -11.73%E -3.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -12.00%E -3.77%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 18:56
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:41
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 18:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -11.97%E -6.11%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 18:56
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.23%EV -11.52%E -5.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.26%EV -13.77%E -7.17%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.33%EV -17.76%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -14.21%E -4.58%K -6.77%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-12 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.36%13.0%2026-09-12 20:05
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%14.0%2026-09-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 16:25