La scuola delle quote

Oxford United v Watford

Inizio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Finale: Oxford United 2–0 Watford

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Oxford United (Casa)

Previsione 39.55%2.53quota equa
EV +2.03%
Vantaggio +0.788%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.57%39.49%39.58%40.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.392.5845.45%41.97%41.84%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Watford (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.78%3.15quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -0.798%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.85%31.82%31.73%34.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.902.903.0736.36%34.49%34.48%32.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.68%3.49quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -0.649%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.72%28.69%28.69%30.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.253.253.4134.72%30.79%30.77%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.57%EV +2.03%E +0.788%K +1.29%G +0.026%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.42%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -1.13%E -0.452%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -2.45%E -0.798%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -3.90%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Betsson2.41I 41.49%NM 39.42%EV -4.69%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.25%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -7.09%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:15
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.42%EV -4.69%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.25%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -7.09%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:14
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:15
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 13:15
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:25
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:20
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:15
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.49%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:50
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.67%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:14
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.67%EV -5.48%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:18
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.49%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:14
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:55
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:55
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -12.62%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 03:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.27%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 03:20
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.05%EV -6.67%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.30%EV -4.04%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 03:49
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -6.67%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.09%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:30
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 03:19
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:14
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:15
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:15
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 03:19
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.06%E -3.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:15
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 39.35%EV -7.46%E -3.19%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.42%EV -6.90%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.67%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.25%E -3.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24%EV -6.58%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.67%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:15
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.25%E -3.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24%EV -6.58%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.67%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 12:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.49%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:13
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -17.41%E -6.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.05%EV -10.23%E -4.50%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.59%EV -8.81%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.03%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.24%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 13:15
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.99%E -5.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.62%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%3.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-04-11 13:40